Each Friday I recap “information you should utilize” from the week: a handful of quotes from main (and sometimes costly) information sources, so you possibly can keep updated on the information that impacts your cash with out spending a dime and in lower than a minute.
Right here’s an outline of what occurred this week.
Cash Provide Shrinks for the First Time. What It Says About Inflation and the Economic system. (Jan. 24, Barron’s):
The annual tempo of inflation in December cooled for six straight months and appears set to proceed to gradual.
There’s one other signal that the Fed’s fee hikes are working: The sum of money within the economic system contracted in December.
The cash provide development fee for December was a detrimental 1.3% versus a yr in the past, the bottom ever and marking the first-ever decline in M2 primarily based on all information out there.
DOJ Sues Google, Searching for to Break Up On-line Promoting Enterprise (Jan. 24, Wall Road Journal):
A lawsuit filed Tuesday, the Justice Division’s second in opposition to the unit following one filed in 2020, alleges that Google abuses its position as one of many largest brokers, suppliers and on-line auctioneers of advertisements positioned on web sites and cellular functions. The submitting guarantees a protracted courtroom battle with wide-ranging implications for the digital-advertising trade.
White Home unveils new tenant protections amid hovering rental prices (Jan. 25, Washington Submit):
Underneath strain to handle the nation’s hovering housing prices, the Biden administration on Wednesday introduced vital new actions to guard tenants and make renting extra inexpensive.
The announcement includes a number of federal companies that may collect info on unfair housing practices. It additionally features a “Blueprint for a Renters Invoice of Rights” that, whereas not binding, units clear pointers to assist renters keep in inexpensive housing.
Jittery Traders Flip to Money in Hunt for Yield (Jan. 25, Wall Road Journal):
Elevated money allocations are the newest signal of warning amongst buyers who’re questioning whether or not the current rebound in shares and bonds will proceed after final yr’s steep selloff. Many anticipate markets to stay unstable as a result of Federal Reserve officers have repeatedly mentioned they’re dedicated to combating inflation with larger rates of interest.
Is a US Recession Close to? Making the Name Is Trickier Than Ever (Jan. 25, Bloomberg):
Economists are poring over labor market information, on the lookout for indicators of weak point. They’re not instantly obvious: Unemployment is at a half-century low, job features every month are moderating however proceed to beat expectations, and vacancies are nonetheless elevated.
The Convention Board’s broadly watched Main Financial Index is signaling a recession is approaching. Bloomberg Economics’s mannequin places the possibility of a recession in 2023 at 100%…
Mortgage demand rises 7% as charges fall for the third week in a row (Jan. 25, MarketWatch):
As mortgage charges fall, owners are seizing the chance to refinance their mortgages. Mortgage demand rose seasonally adjusted 7% within the newest week.
Demand for each purchases and refinancing elevated. That pushed the market composite index up, a measure of mortgage software quantity, the Mortgage Bankers Affiliation (MBA) mentioned on Wednesday.
The US Hasn’t Observed That China-Made Automobiles Are Taking Over the World (Jan. 25, Bloomberg):
Abroad shipments of automobiles made in China have tripled since 2020 to achieve greater than 2.5 million final yr, in line with information from the China Passenger Automobile Affiliation.
China’s numbers, behind Japan however forward of the US and South Korea, herald the emergence of a formidable rival to the established auto giants.
U.S. GDP rose 2.9% within the fourth quarter, greater than anticipated whilst recession fears loom (Jan. 26, CNBC):
Fourth-quarter gross home product, the sum of all items and companies produced for the October-to-December interval, rose at a 2.9% annualized tempo, the Commerce Division reported Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had anticipated a studying of two.8%. …
Inflation readings moved significantly decrease. The private consumption expenditures worth index elevated 3.2%, consistent with expectations however down sharply from 4.8% within the third quarter. Excluding meals and power, the chain-weighted index rose 3.9%, down from 4.7%.
Smartphone shipments plunge to a low not seen since 2013 — their largest ever decline (Jan. 26, CNBC):
World smartphone shipments plunged within the fourth quarter of 2022 — often an enormous vacation purchasing interval — because of macroeconomic weak point and tender client demand, in line with market analysis agency IDC.
Electronics companies shipped 300.3 million smartphones within the October to December quarter, an 18.3% year-over-year fall, IDC mentioned in a report revealed late Wednesday. The drop marks the largest-ever decline in a single quarter.
Key Inflation Gauge Cools Additional, Paving Manner for Smaller Fed Fee Hike (Jan. 27, Bloomberg):
The private consumption expenditures core worth index, which excludes meals and power, rose 4.4% in December from a yr earlier, Commerce Division information confirmed Friday. The general gauge climbed 5% year-over-year, nonetheless nicely above the Fed’s 2% objective however each had been the slowest paces since late 2021.
My tackle the markets
I periodically share my ideas and recommendation on shares and different investments, together with actions I’m contemplating and taking in my private portfolio.
Up to now, these market missives appeared right here, however now they’re separate and out there to members solely.
In case you’re not already a member of Cash Talks Information, please be part of. Not solely does your membership assist our journalism, you additionally get numerous extra advantages, like ad-free studying, free books, course reductions and way more. And it’s low cost: simply $5/month. I hope my column alone is value that a lot! Be taught extra right here.
Try my podcast
My weekly Cash Talks Information podcasts are transient, informal conversations with information recaps, in addition to ideas and methods to make you richer.
You’ll be able to pay attention proper right here on the Cash Talks Information web site, or obtain them wherever you get your podcasts. Simply search for Cash Talks Information: The Podcast with Stacy Johnson.
Verify them out: You’ll be glad you probably did!
About me
I based Cash Talks Information in 1991. I’m a CPA, and I’ve additionally earned licenses in shares, commodities, choices principal, mutual funds, life insurance coverage, securities supervisor and actual property.